Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 6:00 AM

AMATAMAT stock price outlook

Bearish — 3 of 16 bots downThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Strong bearish edge · 1 bull · 3 bear · 12 hold
$399.30-5.3% since prev closeBearish

AMAT is down 5.30% since the previous close on the latest cached quote at $399.30. News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.

Universal leanStock
AMAT

AMAT

$399.30-5.30%
LEANSOFT caution / pressure
WHY
  • AMAT is down 5.30% since the previous close on the latest cached quote at $399.30. News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.
  • Bear input: Momentum 24/100 with trend velocity 27/100 — trend is rolling over.
RISK

Quote row is current from the latest cached feed.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate on a reclaim of the session offer, catalyst relief, or model edge flipping bullish.

18/100 · Bearish · live · research only

AI Signal

Bearish · Strong bearish edge

live data

Cached quote refreshed 2026-11-02T06:00:56.560Z. Change is measured since the previous close.

Quote source

Cron batch chart feed 2026-11-02T06:00:56.560Z

Move since previous close

-5.30%

News Sentiment60/100
Price Momentum24/100
Trend Velocity27/100
Volatility Risk72/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

AMAT is down 5.30% since the previous close on the latest cached quote at $399.30. News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

Trees disagree — no clear lean on AMAT

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeStrong edgeNeutral
1 bull 12 hold 3 bear
BEARMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Momentum 24/100 with trend velocity 27/100 — trend is rolling over.

95% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.

50% weight
HOLDVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume read 45/100 with price drift -5.3% — no clear footprint.

30% weight
BEARVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

High volatility (72/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

70% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 vs week change 3.0% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
HOLDTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price within 0.0% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.

35% weight
BULLOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Composite oscillator at 26 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

55% weight
BEARMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 24/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.

70% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 60/100 and weekly change 3.0% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 45/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
HOLDVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Volatility 72/100 does not give a clean compression read.

30% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 18% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 and momentum 24/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
HOLDMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

50d SMA distance 0.0% is not decisive.

30% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 26 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.
  • Price within 0.0% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.
  • Sentiment 60/100 and momentum 24/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

Counter-trees

  • Momentum 24/100 with trend velocity 27/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volatility (72/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

Bull Case

  • Composite oscillator at 26 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

Bear Case

  • Momentum 24/100 with trend velocity 27/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volatility (72/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.
  • Momentum 24/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.

Key stats

Sector
Technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Market cap
$309.57B
52-week range
$739.67/$203.4
Volume
10,283,492
Avg volume
6,511,379
Analyst 1-yr target
$610.00
Dividend (annual)
$2.12
Yield
0.5%
Ex-dividend
Aug 20, 2026
Exchange
NASDAQ-GS

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Nov 12, 2026

Estimate

$4.06

Actual

$3.5

  • • Last report Aug 13, 2026 (Jul 2026): EPS $3.5 vs $3.38 expected, +3.55% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters.
  • • Next report expected Nov 12, 2026, consensus EPS $4.06 (Zacks estimate via Nasdaq; the company may confirm a different date).

Risk Warnings

  • • Quote row is current from the latest cached feed.
  • • Quotes can be delayed. Research only, not investment advice.

AMAT questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for AMAT stock (AMAT)?

As of Nov 2, 1:00 AM ET, the ensemble reads bearish on AMAT — bearish — 3 of 16 bots down, with 1 bull, 3 bear and 12 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest AMAT price on MarketPicks?

AMAT was $399.30 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 1:00 AM ET), -5.3% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for AMAT mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. AMAT shows momentum 24/100, trend velocity 27/100 and volatility risk 72/100, with news sentiment at 60/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.