Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 5:10 AM

ARQTArcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. stock price outlook

Bullish — 7 of 16 bots upThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Strong bullish edge · 7 bull · 1 bear · 8 hold
$32.07+0.31% since prev closeBullish

Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT) is trading at $32.07, up 0.31% since the previous close and +2.79% over the past week. Price sits above its 50-day average by 20.29%, with price momentum at 99/100 and trend velocity at 100/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads net constructive at 61/100. Volatility risk is elevated (89/100) and the stock is 91% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 75/100 — a bullish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
ARQT

Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.

$32.07+0.31%
LEANSOFT mild bid
WHY
  • Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT) is trading at $32.07, up 0.31% since the previous close and +2.79% over the past week. Price sits above its 50-day average by 20.29%, with price momentum at 99/100 and trend velocity at 100/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads net constructive at 61/100. Volatility risk is elevated (89/100) and the stock is 91% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 75/100 — a bullish signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bull input: Momentum 99/100 confirmed by trend velocity 100/100.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate on a decisive break of the session bid, catalyst reversal, or model edge flipping bearish.

75/100 · Bullish · live · research only

AI Signal

Bullish · Strong bullish edge

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

7 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment61/100
Price Momentum99/100
Trend Velocity100/100
Volatility Risk89/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT) is trading at $32.07, up 0.31% since the previous close and +2.79% over the past week. Price sits above its 50-day average by 20.29%, with price momentum at 99/100 and trend velocity at 100/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads net constructive at 61/100. Volatility risk is elevated (89/100) and the stock is 91% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 75/100 — a bullish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

44% of trees lean bullish on ARQT

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeStrong bullish edgeBullish
7 bull 8 hold 1 bear
BULLMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Momentum 99/100 confirmed by trend velocity 100/100.

100% weight
BULLNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 61/100 with price up 0.3% confirms catalyst follow-through.

58% weight
HOLDVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume read 24/100 with price drift 0.3% — no clear footprint.

30% weight
HOLDVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

Vol regime 89/100 is too high to trust either direction without confirmation.

55% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Near range top — needs fresh catalyst to break out.

40% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 61/100 vs week change 2.8% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
BULLTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price 20.3% over 50d SMA with momentum confirming — uptrend intact.

60% weight
BEAROscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Composite oscillator at 100 — stretched zone, pullback risk.

55% weight
BULLMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 99/100 with a positive tape and price not below the 50d SMA — breakout continuation.

70% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 61/100 and weekly change 2.8% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
BULLVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 24/100 is quiet while trend velocity stays firm — supply looks thin.

50% weight
HOLDVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Volatility 89/100 does not give a clean compression read.

30% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 91% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
BULLSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Positive sentiment and strong momentum are moving in the same direction.

60% weight
BULLMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

Price is above the 50d SMA and both momentum and trend velocity are holding up.

55% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 100 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Momentum 99/100 confirmed by trend velocity 100/100.
  • Momentum 99/100 with a positive tape and price not below the 50d SMA — breakout continuation.
  • Price 20.3% over 50d SMA with momentum confirming — uptrend intact.

Counter-trees

  • Composite oscillator at 100 — stretched zone, pullback risk.

Bull Case

  • Momentum 99/100 confirmed by trend velocity 100/100.
  • Sentiment 61/100 with price up 0.3% confirms catalyst follow-through.
  • Price 20.3% over 50d SMA with momentum confirming — uptrend intact.

Bear Case

  • Composite oscillator at 100 — stretched zone, pullback risk.

Key stats

Sector
Health Care
Industry
Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
Market cap
$4.03B
52-week range
$33.3/$19.295
Volume
1,883,941
Avg volume
2,665,894
Analyst 1-yr target
$38.50
Exchange
NASDAQ-GS

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Nov 4, 2026

Estimate

$0.17

Actual

$0.11

  • • Last report Aug 5, 2026 (Jun 2026): EPS $0.11 vs $0.09 expected, +22.22% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
  • • Next report expected Nov 4, 2026, consensus EPS $0.17 (Zacks estimate via Nasdaq; the company may confirm a different date).

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • High volatility — position sizing and stops matter more here.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

ARQT questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. stock (ARQT)?

As of Nov 2, 12:10 AM ET, the ensemble reads bullish on ARQT — bullish — 7 of 16 bots up, with 7 bull, 1 bear and 8 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest ARQT price on MarketPicks?

ARQT was $32.07 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 12:10 AM ET), +0.31% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for ARQT mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. ARQT shows momentum 99/100, trend velocity 100/100 and volatility risk 89/100, with news sentiment at 61/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.