Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 3:12 AM

ASMLASML Holding N.V. stock price outlook

No consensus — 11 of 16 bots holdingThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Strong edge · 1 bull · 4 bear · 11 hold
$1565.90-6.55% since prev closeNeutral

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is trading at $1565.9, down 6.55% since the previous close and -0.38% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 8.14%, with price momentum at 28/100 and trend velocity at 16/100. Sentiment across 6 recent headlines reads mixed at 55/100. Volatility risk is moderate (57/100) and the stock is 59% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 33/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

$1,565.9-6.55%
LEANNEUTRAL / wait for cleaner tape
WHY
  • ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is trading at $1565.9, down 6.55% since the previous close and -0.38% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 8.14%, with price momentum at 28/100 and trend velocity at 16/100. Sentiment across 6 recent headlines reads mixed at 55/100. Volatility risk is moderate (57/100) and the stock is 59% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 33/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bull input: Composite oscillator at 22 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.
  • Bear input: Momentum 28/100 with trend velocity 16/100 — trend is rolling over.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate when a clear catalyst or directional print replaces the mixed tape.

33/100 · Neutral · live · research only

AI Signal

Neutral · Strong edge

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

6 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment55/100
Price Momentum28/100
Trend Velocity16/100
Volatility Risk57/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is trading at $1565.9, down 6.55% since the previous close and -0.38% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 8.14%, with price momentum at 28/100 and trend velocity at 16/100. Sentiment across 6 recent headlines reads mixed at 55/100. Volatility risk is moderate (57/100) and the stock is 59% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 33/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

Trees disagree — no clear lean on ASML

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeStrong edgeNeutral
1 bull 11 hold 4 bear
BEARMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Momentum 28/100 with trend velocity 16/100 — trend is rolling over.

100% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 55/100 + price -6.5% are both mid-range.

35% weight
HOLDVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume read 57/100 with price drift -6.5% — no clear footprint.

30% weight
HOLDVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

Vol regime 57/100 is mid-range — no edge.

30% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 55/100 vs week change -0.4% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
BEARTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price -8.1% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.

60% weight
BULLOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Composite oscillator at 22 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

55% weight
BEARMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 28/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.

70% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 55/100 and weekly change -0.4% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 57/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
HOLDVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Volatility 57/100 does not give a clean compression read.

30% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 59% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 55/100 and momentum 28/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
BEARMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.

55% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 22 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Sentiment 55/100 + price -6.5% are both mid-range.
  • Sentiment 55/100 and momentum 28/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.
  • Volume read 57/100 with price drift -6.5% — no clear footprint.

Counter-trees

  • Momentum 28/100 with trend velocity 16/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • Momentum 28/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.

Bull Case

  • Composite oscillator at 22 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

Bear Case

  • Momentum 28/100 with trend velocity 16/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • Price -8.1% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.
  • Momentum 28/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.

Key stats

Sector
Technology
Industry
Industrial Machinery/Components
Market cap
$603.53B
52-week range
$1999.96/$946.11
Volume
2,176,429
Avg volume
1,337,370
Analyst 1-yr target
$2,225.00
Dividend (annual)
$8.60288
Yield
0.51%
Ex-dividend
Jul 28, 2026
Exchange
NASDAQ-GS

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Not yet scheduled

Estimate

N/A

Actual

$14.89

  • • Last report Oct 14, 2026 (Sep 2026): EPS $14.89 vs $12.47 expected, +19.41% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • Markets can move against any signal regardless of the score.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

ASML questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for ASML Holding N.V. stock (ASML)?

As of Nov 1, 10:12 PM ET, the ensemble reads neutral on ASML — no consensus — 11 of 16 bots holding, with 1 bull, 4 bear and 11 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest ASML price on MarketPicks?

ASML was $1565.90 on the latest quote (Nov 1, 10:12 PM ET), -6.55% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for ASML mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. ASML shows momentum 28/100, trend velocity 16/100 and volatility risk 57/100, with news sentiment at 55/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.