Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity
Momentum 22/100 with trend velocity 28/100 — trend is rolling over.
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Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 6:51 AM
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is trading at $126.11, down 6.5% since the previous close and +2.32% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 10.65%, with price momentum at 22/100 and trend velocity at 28/100. Sentiment across 5 recent headlines reads net constructive at 61/100. Volatility risk is moderate (66/100) and the stock is 4% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 35/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.
AeroVironment, Inc.
Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
Invalidate on a reclaim of the session offer, catalyst relief, or model edge flipping bullish.
AI Signal
Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.
Chart feed
Cron market chart feed
Quote/history
Six-month public chart history loaded.
News feed
5 relevant headlines found.
Signal inputs
Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.
Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.
Why It Matters
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is trading at $126.11, down 6.5% since the previous close and +2.32% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 10.65%, with price momentum at 22/100 and trend velocity at 28/100. Sentiment across 5 recent headlines reads net constructive at 61/100. Volatility risk is moderate (66/100) and the stock is 4% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 35/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.
Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble
Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.
Momentum 22/100 with trend velocity 28/100 — trend is rolling over.
News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.
Volume read 20/100 with price drift -6.5% — no clear footprint.
Vol regime 66/100 is mid-range — no edge.
Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.
Sentiment 61/100 vs week change 2.3% are in agreement — no divergence edge.
Price -10.7% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.
Composite oscillator at 25 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.
Momentum 22/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.
News 61/100 and weekly change 2.3% do not create a clean follow-through read.
Volume 20/100 is quiet and trend velocity is weak — move lacks sponsorship.
Volatility 66/100 does not give a clean compression read.
Range position 4% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.
Sentiment 61/100 and momentum 22/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.
Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.
Oscillator at 25 with weekly stabilization is a rebound setup.
Why the ensemble agrees
Counter-trees
Headline titles only, from the publisher named on each card. Each links to the original story.
10/28/2026, 6:20:00 AM
10/9/2026, 12:11:00 AM
8/13/2026, 9:02:00 AM
10/14/2026, 2:15:02 PM
10/30/2026, 2:56:00 PM
Key stats
Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.
Earnings Intelligence
Next
Dec 8, 2026
Estimate
$0.46
Actual
$0.59
As of Nov 2, 1:51 AM ET, the ensemble reads bearish on AVAV — bearish — 5 of 16 bots down, with 2 bull, 5 bear and 9 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.
AVAV was $126.11 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 1:51 AM ET), -6.5% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.
Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. AVAV shows momentum 22/100, trend velocity 28/100 and volatility risk 66/100, with news sentiment at 61/100.
Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.