Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 4:32 AM

CRCLCircle Internet Group stock price outlook

Bearish — 7 of 16 bots downThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Strong bearish edge · 1 bull · 7 bear · 8 hold
$72.54-9.31% since prev closeBearish

Circle Internet Group (CRCL) is trading at $72.54, down 9.31% since the previous close and -15.56% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 16.88%, with price momentum at 6/100 and trend velocity at 27/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is elevated (89/100) and the stock is 25% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 23/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
CRCL

Circle Internet Group

$72.54-9.31%
LEANSOFT caution / pressure
WHY
  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL) is trading at $72.54, down 9.31% since the previous close and -15.56% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 16.88%, with price momentum at 6/100 and trend velocity at 27/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is elevated (89/100) and the stock is 25% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 23/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bear input: Momentum 6/100 with trend velocity 27/100 — trend is rolling over.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate on a reclaim of the session offer, catalyst relief, or model edge flipping bullish.

23/100 · Bearish · live · research only

AI Signal

Bearish · Strong bearish edge

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

7 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment57/100
Price Momentum6/100
Trend Velocity27/100
Volatility Risk89/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

Circle Internet Group (CRCL) is trading at $72.54, down 9.31% since the previous close and -15.56% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 16.88%, with price momentum at 6/100 and trend velocity at 27/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is elevated (89/100) and the stock is 25% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 23/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

44% of trees lean bearish on CRCL

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeStrong bearish edgeBearish
1 bull 8 hold 7 bear
BEARMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Momentum 6/100 with trend velocity 27/100 — trend is rolling over.

100% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 57/100 + price -9.3% are both mid-range.

35% weight
BEARVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.

74% weight
BEARVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

High volatility (89/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

70% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 57/100 vs week change -15.6% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
BEARTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price -16.9% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.

60% weight
BULLOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Composite oscillator at 17 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

55% weight
BEARMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 6/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.

70% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 57/100 and weekly change -15.6% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 70/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
BEARVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Very high volatility (89/100) with weak momentum is a rough setup for holders.

58% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 25% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 57/100 and momentum 6/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
BEARMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.

55% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 17 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Momentum 6/100 with trend velocity 27/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
  • High volatility (89/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

Counter-trees

  • Composite oscillator at 17 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

Bull Case

  • Composite oscillator at 17 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

Bear Case

  • Momentum 6/100 with trend velocity 27/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
  • High volatility (89/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

Key stats

Sector
Finance
Industry
Finance: Consumer Services
Market cap
$18.42B
52-week range
$140/$49.9
Volume
16,273,354
Analyst 1-yr target
$96.00
Exchange
NYSE

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Insider trades

0 buys · 1 sells by CRCL insiders (SEC Form 4 filings)

  • SELL Fox-Geen Jeremy Chief Financial Officer · 2026-10-23$1.35M
All CRCL insider trades →

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Nov 4, 2026

Estimate

$0.4

Actual

$0.18

  • • Last report Aug 5, 2026 (Jun 2026): EPS $0.18 vs $0.16 expected, +12.5% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters.
  • • Next report expected Nov 4, 2026, consensus EPS $0.4 (Zacks estimate via Nasdaq; the company may confirm a different date).

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • High volatility — position sizing and stops matter more here.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

CRCL questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for Circle Internet Group stock (CRCL)?

As of Nov 1, 11:32 PM ET, the ensemble reads bearish on CRCL — bearish — 7 of 16 bots down, with 1 bull, 7 bear and 8 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest CRCL price on MarketPicks?

CRCL was $72.54 on the latest quote (Nov 1, 11:32 PM ET), -9.31% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for CRCL mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. CRCL shows momentum 6/100, trend velocity 27/100 and volatility risk 89/100, with news sentiment at 57/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.