Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 7:31 AM

ELThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc. stock price outlook

No consensus — 12 of 16 bots holdingThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Strong edge · 3 bull · 1 bear · 12 hold
$109.23+0.39% since prev closeNeutral

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is trading at $109.23, up 0.39% since the previous close and +0.52% over the past week. Price sits above its 50-day average by 8.83%, with price momentum at 71/100 and trend velocity at 89/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is moderate (49/100) and the stock is 78% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 63/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
EL

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.

$109.23+0.39%
LEANNEUTRAL / wait for cleaner tape
WHY
  • The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is trading at $109.23, up 0.39% since the previous close and +0.52% over the past week. Price sits above its 50-day average by 8.83%, with price momentum at 71/100 and trend velocity at 89/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is moderate (49/100) and the stock is 78% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 63/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bull input: Momentum 71/100 confirmed by trend velocity 89/100.
  • Bear input: Composite oscillator at 80 — stretched zone, pullback risk.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate when a clear catalyst or directional print replaces the mixed tape.

63/100 · Neutral · live · research only

AI Signal

Neutral · Strong edge

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

8 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment57/100
Price Momentum71/100
Trend Velocity89/100
Volatility Risk49/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is trading at $109.23, up 0.39% since the previous close and +0.52% over the past week. Price sits above its 50-day average by 8.83%, with price momentum at 71/100 and trend velocity at 89/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is moderate (49/100) and the stock is 78% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 63/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

Trees disagree — no clear lean on EL

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeStrong edgeNeutral
3 bull 12 hold 1 bear
BULLMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Momentum 71/100 confirmed by trend velocity 89/100.

100% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 57/100 + price 0.4% are both mid-range.

35% weight
HOLDVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume read 100/100 with price drift 0.4% — no clear footprint.

30% weight
HOLDVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

Vol regime 49/100 is mid-range — no edge.

30% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 57/100 vs week change 0.5% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
BULLTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price 8.8% over 50d SMA with momentum confirming — uptrend intact.

60% weight
BEAROscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Composite oscillator at 80 — stretched zone, pullback risk.

55% weight
HOLDMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 71/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.

35% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 57/100 and weekly change 0.5% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 100/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
HOLDVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Volatility 49/100 does not give a clean compression read.

30% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 78% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 57/100 and momentum 71/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
BULLMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

Price is above the 50d SMA and both momentum and trend velocity are holding up.

55% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 80 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Sentiment 57/100 + price 0.4% are both mid-range.
  • Momentum 71/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.
  • Sentiment 57/100 and momentum 71/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

Counter-trees

  • Momentum 71/100 confirmed by trend velocity 89/100.
  • Price 8.8% over 50d SMA with momentum confirming — uptrend intact.

Bull Case

  • Momentum 71/100 confirmed by trend velocity 89/100.
  • Price 8.8% over 50d SMA with momentum confirming — uptrend intact.
  • Price is above the 50d SMA and both momentum and trend velocity are holding up.

Bear Case

  • Composite oscillator at 80 — stretched zone, pullback risk.

Key stats

Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Package Goods/Cosmetics
Market cap
$39.58B
52-week range
$121.635/$66.22
Volume
8,863,513
Avg volume
1,190,837
Analyst 1-yr target
$112.00
Exchange
NYSE

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Not yet scheduled

Estimate

N/A

Actual

$0.39

  • • Last report Aug 19, 2026 (Jun 2026): EPS $0.39 vs $0.32 expected, +21.87% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • Markets can move against any signal regardless of the score.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

EL questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. stock (EL)?

As of Nov 2, 2:31 AM ET, the ensemble reads neutral on EL — no consensus — 12 of 16 bots holding, with 3 bull, 1 bear and 12 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest EL price on MarketPicks?

EL was $109.23 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 2:31 AM ET), +0.39% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for EL mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. EL shows momentum 71/100, trend velocity 89/100 and volatility risk 49/100, with news sentiment at 57/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.