Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 4:36 AM

ESE-mini S&P 500 futures price outlook

No consensus — 15 of 16 bots holdingThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Lean · 0 bull · 1 bear · 15 hold
$7651.00+0.49% since prev closeNeutral

E-Mini S&P 500 Dec 26 (ES) is trading at $7651, up 0.49% since the previous close and -0.82% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 1.02%, with price momentum at 48/100 and trend velocity at 45/100. Sentiment across 3 recent headlines reads mixed at 56/100. Volatility risk is contained (15/100) and the stock is 84% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 44/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
ES

E-Mini S&P 500 Dec 26

$7,651+0.49%
LEANNEUTRAL / wait for cleaner tape
WHY
  • E-Mini S&P 500 Dec 26 (ES) is trading at $7651, up 0.49% since the previous close and -0.82% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 1.02%, with price momentum at 48/100 and trend velocity at 45/100. Sentiment across 3 recent headlines reads mixed at 56/100. Volatility risk is contained (15/100) and the stock is 84% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 44/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bull input: No bullish case in the sources.
  • Bear input: Price near 52-week highs (84%) but trend losing pace — distribution risk.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate when a clear catalyst or directional print replaces the mixed tape.

44/100 · Neutral · live · research only

AI Signal

Neutral · Lean

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

3 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment56/100
Price Momentum48/100
Trend Velocity45/100
Volatility Risk15/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

E-Mini S&P 500 Dec 26 (ES) is trading at $7651, up 0.49% since the previous close and -0.82% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 1.02%, with price momentum at 48/100 and trend velocity at 45/100. Sentiment across 3 recent headlines reads mixed at 56/100. Volatility risk is contained (15/100) and the stock is 84% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 44/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

Trees disagree — no clear lean on ES

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeLeanNeutral
0 bull 15 hold 1 bear
HOLDMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Mixed signal: momentum 48/100, trend 45/100.

40% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 56/100 + price 0.5% are both mid-range.

35% weight
HOLDVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume read 0/100 with price drift 0.5% — no clear footprint.

30% weight
HOLDVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

Vol regime 15/100 is mid-range — no edge.

30% weight
BEARRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Price near 52-week highs (84%) but trend losing pace — distribution risk.

65% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 56/100 vs week change -0.8% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
HOLDTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price within 1.0% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.

35% weight
HOLDOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Oscillator at 47 — neutral zone.

30% weight
HOLDMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 48/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.

35% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 56/100 and weekly change -0.8% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 0/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
HOLDVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Volatility 15/100 does not give a clean compression read.

30% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 84% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 56/100 and momentum 48/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
HOLDMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

50d SMA distance -1.0% is not decisive.

30% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 47 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Mixed signal: momentum 48/100, trend 45/100.
  • Sentiment 56/100 + price 0.5% are both mid-range.
  • Price within 1.0% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.

Counter-trees

  • Price near 52-week highs (84%) but trend losing pace — distribution risk.

Bull Case

  • No bullish case in the sources.

Bear Case

  • Price near 52-week highs (84%) but trend losing pace — distribution risk.

Latest Market Headlines

Headline titles only, from the publisher named on each card. Each links to the original story.

No current headlines passed the relevance filter. The watch panel above still shows the catalysts and risk factors being tracked.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • Markets can move against any signal regardless of the score.
  • • Crypto trades 24/7 and can gap hard on thin weekend liquidity.

ES questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES)?

As of Nov 1, 11:36 PM ET, the ensemble reads neutral on ES — no consensus — 15 of 16 bots holding, with 0 bull, 1 bear and 15 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest ES price on MarketPicks?

ES was $7651.00 on the latest quote (Nov 1, 11:36 PM ET), +0.49% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for ES mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. ES shows momentum 48/100, trend velocity 45/100 and volatility risk 15/100.

What does ES track?

ES is the E-mini S&P 500 futures contract on CME. MarketPicks prices it from the continuous front-month quote (ES=F).

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.