Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 6:25 AM

LPLALPL Financial Holdings Inc. stock price outlook

Bearish — 5 of 16 bots downThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Bearish setup · 3 bull · 5 bear · 8 hold
$283.74+1.5% since prev closeBearish

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA) is trading at $283.74, up 1.5% since the previous close and -10.1% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 14.08%, with price momentum at 17/100 and trend velocity at 28/100. Sentiment across 4 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is elevated (81/100) and the stock is 17% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 42/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
LPLA

LPL Financial Holdings Inc.

$283.74+1.50%
LEANSOFT bearish lean
WHY
  • LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA) is trading at $283.74, up 1.5% since the previous close and -10.1% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 14.08%, with price momentum at 17/100 and trend velocity at 28/100. Sentiment across 4 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is elevated (81/100) and the stock is 17% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 42/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bear input: Momentum 17/100 with trend velocity 28/100 — trend is rolling over.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate on a reclaim of the session offer, catalyst relief, or model edge flipping bullish.

42/100 · Bearish · live · research only

AI Signal

Bearish · Bearish setup

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

4 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment60/100
Price Momentum17/100
Trend Velocity28/100
Volatility Risk81/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA) is trading at $283.74, up 1.5% since the previous close and -10.1% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 14.08%, with price momentum at 17/100 and trend velocity at 28/100. Sentiment across 4 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is elevated (81/100) and the stock is 17% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 42/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

31% of trees lean bearish on LPLA

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeBearish setupBearish
3 bull 8 hold 5 bear
BEARMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Momentum 17/100 with trend velocity 28/100 — trend is rolling over.

100% weight
BULLNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 60/100 with price up 1.5% confirms catalyst follow-through.

55% weight
BULLVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume 86/100 above its 20-day average on an up-move — accumulation signature.

100% weight
BEARVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

High volatility (81/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

70% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 vs week change -10.1% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
BEARTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price -14.1% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.

60% weight
BULLOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Composite oscillator at 23 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

55% weight
HOLDMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 17/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.

35% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 60/100 and weekly change -10.1% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 86/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
BEARVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Very high volatility (81/100) with weak momentum is a rough setup for holders.

58% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 17% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 and momentum 17/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
BEARMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.

55% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 23 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Momentum 17/100 with trend velocity 28/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volatility (81/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.
  • Price -14.1% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.

Counter-trees

  • Volume 86/100 above its 20-day average on an up-move — accumulation signature.
  • Sentiment 60/100 with price up 1.5% confirms catalyst follow-through.

Bull Case

  • Sentiment 60/100 with price up 1.5% confirms catalyst follow-through.
  • Volume 86/100 above its 20-day average on an up-move — accumulation signature.
  • Composite oscillator at 23 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

Bear Case

  • Momentum 17/100 with trend velocity 28/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volatility (81/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.
  • Price -14.1% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.

Key stats

Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service
Market cap
$22.34B
52-week range
$400.16/$260.15
Volume
2,171,833
Avg volume
847,498
Analyst 1-yr target
$393.00
Dividend (annual)
$1.20
Yield
0.43%
Ex-dividend
Aug 14, 2026
Exchange
NASDAQ-GS

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Not yet scheduled

Estimate

N/A

Actual

$5.97

  • • Last report Oct 27, 2026 (Sep 2026): EPS $5.97 vs $5.69 expected, +4.92% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • High volatility — position sizing and stops matter more here.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

LPLA questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for LPL Financial Holdings Inc. stock (LPLA)?

As of Nov 2, 1:25 AM ET, the ensemble reads bearish on LPLA — bearish — 5 of 16 bots down, with 3 bull, 5 bear and 8 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest LPLA price on MarketPicks?

LPLA was $283.74 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 1:25 AM ET), +1.5% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for LPLA mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. LPLA shows momentum 17/100, trend velocity 28/100 and volatility risk 81/100, with news sentiment at 60/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.