Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity
Momentum 37/100 with trend velocity 35/100 — trend is rolling over.
Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 5:41 AM
MGKVanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF price outlook
$86.85-3.1% since prev closeNeutral
Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) is trading at $86.85, down 3.1% since the previous close and -2.17% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 4.7%, with price momentum at 37/100 and trend velocity at 35/100. Sentiment across 1 recent headlines reads net constructive at 58/100. Volatility risk is contained (29/100) and the stock is 73% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 32/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
Universal leanmarket
MGK
Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF
$86.85-3.10%
LEANNEUTRAL / wait for cleaner tape
WHY
- Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) is trading at $86.85, down 3.1% since the previous close and -2.17% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 4.7%, with price momentum at 37/100 and trend velocity at 35/100. Sentiment across 1 recent headlines reads net constructive at 58/100. Volatility risk is contained (29/100) and the stock is 73% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 32/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
- Bull input: No bullish case in the sources.
- Bear input: Momentum 37/100 with trend velocity 35/100 — trend is rolling over.
RISK
Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
INVALIDATE
Invalidate when a clear catalyst or directional print replaces the mixed tape.
AI Signal
Neutral · Strong edge
live data
Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.
Chart feed
Cron market chart feed
Quote/history
Six-month public chart history loaded.
News feed
1 relevant headlines found.
Signal inputs
Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.
News Sentiment58/100
Price Momentum37/100
Trend Velocity35/100
Volatility Risk29/100
Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.
Why It Matters
Signal Explanation
Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) is trading at $86.85, down 3.1% since the previous close and -2.17% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 4.7%, with price momentum at 37/100 and trend velocity at 35/100. Sentiment across 1 recent headlines reads net constructive at 58/100. Volatility risk is contained (29/100) and the stock is 73% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 32/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble
Trees disagree — no clear lean on MGK
Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.
Engine edgeStrong edgeNeutral
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange
Sentiment 58/100 + price -3.1% are both mid-range.
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange
High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum
Vol regime 29/100 is mid-range — no edge.
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity
Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange
Sentiment 58/100 vs week change -2.2% are in agreement — no divergence edge.
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum
Price within 4.7% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity
Oscillator at 36 — neutral zone.
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50
Momentum 37/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange
News 58/100 and weekly change -2.2% do not create a clean follow-through read.
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity
Volume 83/100 does not show a dry-up signal.
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum
Volatility 29/100 does not give a clean compression read.
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange
Range position 73% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange
Sentiment 58/100 and momentum 37/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity
Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange
Oscillator at 36 does not show a rebound edge.
Why the ensemble agrees
- Sentiment 58/100 + price -3.1% are both mid-range.
- Price within 4.7% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.
- Momentum 37/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.
Counter-trees
- High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
- Momentum 37/100 with trend velocity 35/100 — trend is rolling over.
Bull Case
- No bullish case in the sources.
Bear Case
- Momentum 37/100 with trend velocity 35/100 — trend is rolling over.
- High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
- Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.
Latest Market Headlines
Headline titles only, from the publisher named on each card. Each links to the original story.
Key stats
- Market cap
- $1.50B
- 52-week range
- $95.525/$63.74
- Volume
- 2,596,698
Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.
Earnings Intelligence
Next
N/A
Estimate
N/A
Actual
N/A
- • Earnings data is not available from the public feed used on this page.
- • Price, news, and model inputs are live.
- • Use an exchange or broker calendar for the official earnings schedule.
Risk Warnings
- • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
- • Markets can move against any signal regardless of the score.
- • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.
MGK questions
What is the MarketPicks AI signal for Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK)?
As of Nov 2, 12:41 AM ET, the ensemble reads neutral on MGK — no consensus — 13 of 16 bots holding, with 0 bull, 3 bear and 13 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.
What is the latest MGK price on MarketPicks?
MGK was $86.85 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 12:41 AM ET), -3.1% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.
What do the momentum and trend scores for MGK mean?
Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. MGK shows momentum 37/100, trend velocity 35/100 and volatility risk 29/100, with news sentiment at 58/100.
Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.