Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 6:55 AM

MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. stock price outlook

Split decision — 3 up / 4 downThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Lean · 3 bull · 4 bear · 9 hold
$1211.63+1.07% since prev closeNeutral

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) is trading at $1211.63, up 1.07% since the previous close and +6.27% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 4.95%, with price momentum at 39/100 and trend velocity at 17/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is elevated (81/100) and the stock is 43% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 46/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

$1,211.63+1.07%
LEANNEUTRAL / wait for cleaner tape
WHY
  • Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) is trading at $1211.63, up 1.07% since the previous close and +6.27% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 4.95%, with price momentum at 39/100 and trend velocity at 17/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is elevated (81/100) and the stock is 43% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 46/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bull input: Sentiment 60/100 with price up 1.1% confirms catalyst follow-through.
  • Bear input: Momentum 39/100 with trend velocity 17/100 — trend is rolling over.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate when a clear catalyst or directional print replaces the mixed tape.

46/100 · Neutral · live · research only

AI Signal

Neutral · Lean

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

7 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment60/100
Price Momentum39/100
Trend Velocity17/100
Volatility Risk81/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) is trading at $1211.63, up 1.07% since the previous close and +6.27% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 4.95%, with price momentum at 39/100 and trend velocity at 17/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is elevated (81/100) and the stock is 43% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 46/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

Trees disagree — no clear lean on MPWR

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeLeanNeutral
3 bull 9 hold 4 bear
BEARMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Momentum 39/100 with trend velocity 17/100 — trend is rolling over.

87% weight
BULLNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 60/100 with price up 1.1% confirms catalyst follow-through.

55% weight
BULLVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume 100/100 above its 20-day average on an up-move — accumulation signature.

100% weight
BEARVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

High volatility (81/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

70% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 vs week change 6.3% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
HOLDTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price within 5.0% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.

35% weight
BULLOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Composite oscillator at 28 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

55% weight
HOLDMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 39/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.

35% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 60/100 and weekly change 6.3% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 100/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
BEARVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Very high volatility (81/100) with weak momentum is a rough setup for holders.

58% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 43% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 and momentum 39/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
BEARMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.

55% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 28 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Price within 5.0% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.
  • Momentum 39/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.
  • Sentiment 60/100 and momentum 39/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

Counter-trees

  • Volume 100/100 above its 20-day average on an up-move — accumulation signature.
  • Momentum 39/100 with trend velocity 17/100 — trend is rolling over.

Bull Case

  • Sentiment 60/100 with price up 1.1% confirms catalyst follow-through.
  • Volume 100/100 above its 20-day average on an up-move — accumulation signature.
  • Composite oscillator at 28 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

Bear Case

  • Momentum 39/100 with trend velocity 17/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volatility (81/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.
  • Very high volatility (81/100) with weak momentum is a rough setup for holders.

Key stats

Sector
Technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Market cap
$59.54B
52-week range
$1714.0899/$833.1801
Volume
2,133,833
Avg volume
693,069
Analyst 1-yr target
$1,800.00
Dividend (annual)
$8.00
Yield
0.67%
Ex-dividend
Sep 30, 2026
Exchange
NASDAQ-GS

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Not yet scheduled

Estimate

N/A

Actual

$6.03

  • • Last report Oct 29, 2026 (Sep 2026): EPS $6.03 vs $6.8 expected, -11.32% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • High volatility — position sizing and stops matter more here.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

MPWR questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. stock (MPWR)?

As of Nov 2, 1:55 AM ET, the ensemble reads neutral on MPWR — split decision — 3 up / 4 down, with 3 bull, 4 bear and 9 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest MPWR price on MarketPicks?

MPWR was $1211.63 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 1:55 AM ET), +1.07% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for MPWR mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. MPWR shows momentum 39/100, trend velocity 17/100 and volatility risk 81/100, with news sentiment at 60/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.