MarketPicks.ai Live AI Predictive Engine

Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 9:40 PM

SHY

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

Lean: higherBullish lean · 1 bull · 0 bear · 15 hold
$81.88-0.04% todayBullish

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) is trading at $81.88, down 0.04% on the session and -0.07% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 0.25%, with price momentum at 49/100 and trend velocity at 50/100. Sentiment across 0 recent headlines reads mixed at 50/100. Volatility risk is contained (3/100) and the stock is 5% of the way up its 52-week range. The ensemble vote lands at 56/100 — a bullish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Predictive path

AI Signal

Bullish · Bullish lean

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Yahoo Finance public chart API

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

No relevant current headlines found.

Model mode

Full public-market technical and news ensemble.

News Sentiment50/100
Price Momentum49/100
Trend Velocity50/100
Volatility Risk3/100

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) is trading at $81.88, down 0.04% on the session and -0.07% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 0.25%, with price momentum at 49/100 and trend velocity at 50/100. Sentiment across 0 recent headlines reads mixed at 50/100. Volatility risk is contained (3/100) and the stock is 5% of the way up its 52-week range. The ensemble vote lands at 56/100 — a bullish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

SPYQQQIWMDIA

Predictive Engine · Specialist bot ensemble

6% of trees lean bullish on SHY

Specialist-bot ensemble of 16 decision trees over 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Majority + weighted vote. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeBullish leanBullish
1 bull 15 hold 0 bear
HOLDMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Mixed signal: momentum 49/100, trend 50/100.

40% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 50/100 + price -0.0% are both mid-range.

35% weight
HOLDVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume read 14/100 with price drift -0.0% — no clear footprint.

30% weight
HOLDVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

Vol regime 3/100 is mid-range — no edge.

30% weight
BULLRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Price near 52-week lows (5% of range) with trend turning up — mean-reversion candidate.

65% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 50/100 vs week change -0.1% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
HOLDTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price within 0.3% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.

35% weight
HOLDOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Oscillator at 50 — neutral zone.

30% weight
HOLDMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 49/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.

35% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 50/100 and weekly change -0.1% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 14/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
HOLDVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Volatility 3/100 does not give a clean compression read.

30% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 5% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 50/100 and momentum 49/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
HOLDMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

50d SMA distance -0.3% is not decisive.

30% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 50 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Price near 52-week lows (5% of range) with trend turning up — mean-reversion candidate.

Bull Case

  • Momentum is building from a lower base; a reclaim of the 50-day average would confirm it.
  • Headline flow is mixed rather than decisively negative — room for a positive catalyst.
  • Trend velocity suggests the move can extend if volume confirms.

Bear Case

  • Even a calm tape can reverse sharply on a single catalyst.
  • Price is near 52-week lows — the broader downtrend has not been broken yet.
  • Sentiment can flip quickly if the next catalyst disappoints.

Latest Market Headlines

No current headlines passed the relevance filter. The watch panel above still shows the catalysts and risk factors being tracked.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Unavailable from public feed

Estimate

N/A

Actual

N/A

  • • Earnings data is not available from the public feed used on this page.
  • • Price, news, and model inputs are live.
  • • Use an exchange or broker calendar for the official earnings schedule.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • Markets can move against any signal regardless of the score.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.