Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity
Momentum 32/100 with trend velocity 20/100 — trend is rolling over.
Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 3:15 AM
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited stock price outlook
$406.13-5.95% since prev closeNeutral
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is trading at $406.13, down 5.95% since the previous close and -2.96% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 6.62%, with price momentum at 32/100 and trend velocity at 20/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is moderate (51/100) and the stock is 63% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 32/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
Universal leanmarket
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
$406.13-5.95%
LEANNEUTRAL / wait for cleaner tape
WHY
- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is trading at $406.13, down 5.95% since the previous close and -2.96% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 6.62%, with price momentum at 32/100 and trend velocity at 20/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is moderate (51/100) and the stock is 63% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 32/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
- Bull input: Composite oscillator at 26 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.
- Bear input: Momentum 32/100 with trend velocity 20/100 — trend is rolling over.
RISK
Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
INVALIDATE
Invalidate when a clear catalyst or directional print replaces the mixed tape.
AI Signal
Neutral · Strong edge
live data
Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.
Chart feed
Cron market chart feed
Quote/history
Six-month public chart history loaded.
News feed
7 relevant headlines found.
Signal inputs
Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.
News Sentiment57/100
Price Momentum32/100
Trend Velocity20/100
Volatility Risk51/100
Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.
Why It Matters
Signal Explanation
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is trading at $406.13, down 5.95% since the previous close and -2.96% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 6.62%, with price momentum at 32/100 and trend velocity at 20/100. Sentiment across 7 recent headlines reads mixed at 57/100. Volatility risk is moderate (51/100) and the stock is 63% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 32/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble
Trees disagree — no clear lean on TSM
Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.
Engine edgeStrong edgeNeutral
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange
Sentiment 57/100 + price -6.0% are both mid-range.
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange
High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum
Vol regime 51/100 is mid-range — no edge.
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity
Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange
Sentiment 57/100 vs week change -3.0% are in agreement — no divergence edge.
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum
Price -6.6% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity
Composite oscillator at 26 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50
Momentum 32/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange
News 57/100 and weekly change -3.0% do not create a clean follow-through read.
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity
Volume 80/100 does not show a dry-up signal.
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum
Volatility 51/100 does not give a clean compression read.
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange
Range position 63% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange
Sentiment 57/100 and momentum 32/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity
Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange
Oscillator at 26 does not show a rebound edge.
Why the ensemble agrees
- Sentiment 57/100 + price -6.0% are both mid-range.
- Momentum 32/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.
- Sentiment 57/100 and momentum 32/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.
Counter-trees
- High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
- Momentum 32/100 with trend velocity 20/100 — trend is rolling over.
Bull Case
- Composite oscillator at 26 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.
Bear Case
- Momentum 32/100 with trend velocity 20/100 — trend is rolling over.
- High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
- Price -6.6% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.
Latest Market Headlines
Headline titles only, from the publisher named on each card. Each links to the original story.
Yahoo Finance52
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Looks Pricey Against Cash Flow - Yahoo Finance
10/26/2026, 1:07:27 PM
Benzinga57
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) Stock Price, Quote, News & History - Benzinga
10/30/2026, 11:59:00 PM
The Motley Fool62
Here’s What a $10,000 Investment in TSMC Stock Will Be Worth by 2030 - The Motley Fool
10/30/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Moomoo55
$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ - Moomoo
10/30/2026, 10:26:39 AM
Seeking Alpha53
TSMC: The Cracks Are Showing (NYSE:TSM) - Seeking Alpha
10/29/2026, 4:23:12 PM
Key stats
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Market cap
- $2.11T
- 52-week range
- $487.47/$266.82
- Volume
- 21,971,260
- Avg volume
- 10,483,275
- Analyst 1-yr target
- $537.00
- Exchange
- NYSE
Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.
Earnings Intelligence
Next
Not yet scheduled
Estimate
N/A
Actual
$4.6
- • Last report Oct 15, 2026 (Sep 2026): EPS $4.6 vs $4.45 expected, +3.37% surprise.
- • Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters.
Risk Warnings
- • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
- • Markets can move against any signal regardless of the score.
- • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.
TSM questions
What is the MarketPicks AI signal for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited stock (TSM)?
As of Nov 1, 10:15 PM ET, the ensemble reads neutral on TSM — no consensus — 11 of 16 bots holding, with 1 bull, 4 bear and 11 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.
What is the latest TSM price on MarketPicks?
TSM was $406.13 on the latest quote (Nov 1, 10:15 PM ET), -5.95% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.
What do the momentum and trend scores for TSM mean?
Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. TSM shows momentum 32/100, trend velocity 20/100 and volatility risk 51/100, with news sentiment at 57/100.
Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.