Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 5:44 AM

TWLOTwilio Inc. stock price outlook

Bearish — 7 of 16 bots downThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Strong bearish edge · 1 bull · 7 bear · 8 hold
$205.03-15.24% since prev closeBearish

Twilio Inc. (TWLO) is trading at $205.03, down 15.24% since the previous close and -21.68% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 20.1%, with price momentum at 0/100 and trend velocity at 0/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads mixed at 56/100. Volatility risk is elevated (100/100) and the stock is 49% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 22/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
TWLO

Twilio Inc.

$205.03-15.24%
LEANSOFT caution / pressure
WHY
  • Twilio Inc. (TWLO) is trading at $205.03, down 15.24% since the previous close and -21.68% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 20.1%, with price momentum at 0/100 and trend velocity at 0/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads mixed at 56/100. Volatility risk is elevated (100/100) and the stock is 49% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 22/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bear input: Momentum 0/100 with trend velocity 0/100 — trend is rolling over.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate on a reclaim of the session offer, catalyst relief, or model edge flipping bullish.

22/100 · Bearish · live · research only

AI Signal

Bearish · Strong bearish edge

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

8 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment56/100
Price Momentum0/100
Trend Velocity0/100
Volatility Risk100/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

Twilio Inc. (TWLO) is trading at $205.03, down 15.24% since the previous close and -21.68% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 20.1%, with price momentum at 0/100 and trend velocity at 0/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads mixed at 56/100. Volatility risk is elevated (100/100) and the stock is 49% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 22/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

44% of trees lean bearish on TWLO

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeStrong bearish edgeBearish
1 bull 8 hold 7 bear
BEARMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Momentum 0/100 with trend velocity 0/100 — trend is rolling over.

100% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

Sentiment 56/100 + price -15.2% are both mid-range.

35% weight
BEARVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.

80% weight
BEARVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

High volatility (100/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

70% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 56/100 vs week change -21.7% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
BEARTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price -20.1% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.

60% weight
BULLOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Composite oscillator at 0 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

55% weight
BEARMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 0/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.

70% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 56/100 and weekly change -21.7% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 72/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
BEARVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Very high volatility (100/100) with weak momentum is a rough setup for holders.

58% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 49% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 56/100 and momentum 0/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
BEARMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.

55% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 0 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • Momentum 0/100 with trend velocity 0/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
  • High volatility (100/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

Counter-trees

  • Composite oscillator at 0 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

Bull Case

  • Composite oscillator at 0 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.

Bear Case

  • Momentum 0/100 with trend velocity 0/100 — trend is rolling over.
  • High volume on a down-move — distribution signature.
  • High volatility (100/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.

Key stats

Sector
Technology
Industry
Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
Market cap
$31.49B
52-week range
$308.4/$105
Volume
7,345,430
Avg volume
2,930,462
Analyst 1-yr target
$277.50
Exchange
NYSE

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Not yet scheduled

Estimate

N/A

Actual

$0.9

  • • Last report Oct 29, 2026 (Sep 2026): EPS $0.9 vs $0.74 expected, +21.62% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • High volatility — position sizing and stops matter more here.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

TWLO questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for Twilio Inc. stock (TWLO)?

As of Nov 2, 12:44 AM ET, the ensemble reads bearish on TWLO — bearish — 7 of 16 bots down, with 1 bull, 7 bear and 8 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest TWLO price on MarketPicks?

TWLO was $205.03 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 12:44 AM ET), -15.24% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for TWLO mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. TWLO shows momentum 0/100, trend velocity 0/100 and volatility risk 100/100, with news sentiment at 56/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.