Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 4:37 AM

TYXTreasury Yield 30 Years index price outlook

No consensus — 15 of 16 bots holdingThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Lean · 0 bull · 1 bear · 15 hold
$5.31-0.38% since prev closeNeutral

Treasury Yield 30 Years (TYX) is trading at $5.31, down 0.38% since the previous close and -0.11% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 1.59%, with price momentum at 46/100 and trend velocity at 38/100. Sentiment across 2 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is contained (21/100) and the stock is 93% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 44/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
TYX

Treasury Yield 30 Years

$5.31-0.38%
LEANNEUTRAL / wait for cleaner tape
WHY
  • Treasury Yield 30 Years (TYX) is trading at $5.31, down 0.38% since the previous close and -0.11% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 1.59%, with price momentum at 46/100 and trend velocity at 38/100. Sentiment across 2 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is contained (21/100) and the stock is 93% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 44/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bull input: No bullish case in the sources.
  • Bear input: Price near 52-week highs (93%) but trend losing pace — distribution risk.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate when a clear catalyst or directional print replaces the mixed tape.

44/100 · Neutral · live · research only

AI Signal

Neutral · Lean

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

2 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment60/100
Price Momentum46/100
Trend Velocity38/100
Volatility Risk21/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

Treasury Yield 30 Years (TYX) is trading at $5.31, down 0.38% since the previous close and -0.11% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 1.59%, with price momentum at 46/100 and trend velocity at 38/100. Sentiment across 2 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is contained (21/100) and the stock is 93% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 44/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

Trees disagree — no clear lean on TYX

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeLeanNeutral
0 bull 15 hold 1 bear
HOLDMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Mixed signal: momentum 46/100, trend 38/100.

40% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.

50% weight
HOLDVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume read 50/100 with price drift -0.4% — no clear footprint.

30% weight
HOLDVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

Vol regime 21/100 is mid-range — no edge.

30% weight
BEARRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Price near 52-week highs (93%) but trend losing pace — distribution risk.

65% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 vs week change -0.1% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
HOLDTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price within 1.6% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.

35% weight
HOLDOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Oscillator at 42 — neutral zone.

30% weight
HOLDMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 46/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.

35% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 60/100 and weekly change -0.1% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 50/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
HOLDVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Volatility 21/100 does not give a clean compression read.

30% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Price is at a range extreme, but the tape is not confirming the breakout.

42% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 and momentum 46/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
HOLDMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

50d SMA distance -1.6% is not decisive.

30% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 42 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.
  • Price is at a range extreme, but the tape is not confirming the breakout.
  • Mixed signal: momentum 46/100, trend 38/100.

Counter-trees

  • Price near 52-week highs (93%) but trend losing pace — distribution risk.

Bull Case

  • No bullish case in the sources.

Bear Case

  • Price near 52-week highs (93%) but trend losing pace — distribution risk.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

N/A

Estimate

N/A

Actual

N/A

  • • Earnings data is not available from the public feed used on this page.
  • • Price, news, and model inputs are live.
  • • Use an exchange or broker calendar for the official earnings schedule.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • Markets can move against any signal regardless of the score.
  • • Crypto trades 24/7 and can gap hard on thin weekend liquidity.

TYX questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for Treasury Yield 30 Years index (TYX)?

As of Nov 1, 11:37 PM ET, the ensemble reads neutral on TYX — no consensus — 15 of 16 bots holding, with 0 bull, 1 bear and 15 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest TYX price on MarketPicks?

TYX was $5.31 on the latest quote (Nov 1, 11:37 PM ET), -0.38% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for TYX mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. TYX shows momentum 46/100, trend velocity 38/100 and volatility risk 21/100, with news sentiment at 60/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.