Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 6:17 AM

UBSUBS Group AG stock price outlook

No consensus — 15 of 16 bots holdingThe read comes from 16 independent decision trees that each vote Bull, Bear or Hold from different signals (momentum, trend, valuation, news, risk). The label only calls a direction when a real majority agrees — otherwise it says so honestly.Lean · 0 bull · 1 bear · 15 hold
$47.69-0.91% since prev closeNeutral

UBS Group AG (UBS) is trading at $47.69, down 0.91% since the previous close and +2.85% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 5.04%, with price momentum at 38/100 and trend velocity at 50/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is contained (37/100) and the stock is 58% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 45/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Universal leanmarket
UBS

UBS Group AG

$47.69-0.91%
LEANNEUTRAL / wait for cleaner tape
WHY
  • UBS Group AG (UBS) is trading at $47.69, down 0.91% since the previous close and +2.85% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 5.04%, with price momentum at 38/100 and trend velocity at 50/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is contained (37/100) and the stock is 58% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 45/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.
  • Bull input: No bullish case in the sources.
  • Bear input: Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.
RISK

Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.

INVALIDATE

Invalidate when a clear catalyst or directional print replaces the mixed tape.

45/100 · Neutral · live · research only

AI Signal

Neutral · Lean

live data

Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.

Chart feed

Cron market chart feed

Quote/history

Six-month public chart history loaded.

News feed

8 relevant headlines found.

Signal inputs

Technical factors and news sentiment evaluated across multiple signal inputs.

News Sentiment60/100
Price Momentum38/100
Trend Velocity50/100
Volatility Risk37/100

Historical Modeling: Visualized ranges are mathematically derived from historic volatility metrics, corporate filings, and option-implied volume profiles. They represent statistical points of interest for research purposes, not financial execution commands or advice.

Why It Matters

Signal Explanation

UBS Group AG (UBS) is trading at $47.69, down 0.91% since the previous close and +2.85% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 5.04%, with price momentum at 38/100 and trend velocity at 50/100. Sentiment across 8 recent headlines reads net constructive at 60/100. Volatility risk is contained (37/100) and the stock is 58% of the way up its 52-week range. The weighted factor score lands at 45/100 — a neutral signal. Research only, not investment advice.

Analyst Engine · Specialist model ensemble

Trees disagree — no clear lean on UBS

Weighted factor score across 16 signal inputs evaluating 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Consensus and weighting applied. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.

Engine edgeLeanNeutral
0 bull 15 hold 1 bear
HOLDMomentum + Trend
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Mixed signal: momentum 38/100, trend 50/100.

40% weight
HOLDNews + Price
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange

News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.

50% weight
HOLDVolume Breakout
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange

Volume read 63/100 with price drift -0.9% — no clear footprint.

30% weight
HOLDVolatility Regime
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum

Vol regime 37/100 is mid-range — no edge.

30% weight
HOLDRange Recovery
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity

Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment Lead
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 vs week change 2.9% are in agreement — no divergence edge.

30% weight
HOLDTrend Structure
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum

Price within 5.0% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.

35% weight
HOLDOscillator
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity

Oscillator at 44 — neutral zone.

30% weight
HOLDMomentum Breakout
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50

Momentum 38/100 is not strong enough to confirm a breakout.

35% weight
HOLDNews Follow-Through
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange

News 60/100 and weekly change 2.9% do not create a clean follow-through read.

30% weight
HOLDVolume Dry-Up
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity

Volume 63/100 does not show a dry-up signal.

28% weight
HOLDVolatility Compression
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum

Volatility 37/100 does not give a clean compression read.

30% weight
HOLDRange Breakout
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange

Range position 58% is too middle-of-the-road to matter.

30% weight
HOLDSentiment + Momentum
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange

Sentiment 60/100 and momentum 38/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.

32% weight
BEARMA Reclaim
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity

Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.

55% weight
HOLDOscillator Rebound
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange

Oscillator at 44 does not show a rebound edge.

30% weight

Why the ensemble agrees

  • News positive but tape disagrees — divergence is itself a warning.
  • Mixed signal: momentum 38/100, trend 50/100.
  • Price within 5.0% of the 50d SMA — no clear structural read.

Counter-trees

  • Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.

Bull Case

  • No bullish case in the sources.

Bear Case

  • Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.

Key stats

Sector
Finance
Industry
Major Banks
Market cap
$148.00B
52-week range
$55.985/$36.295
Volume
2,675,612
Avg volume
2,784,264
Analyst 1-yr target
$58.80
Exchange
NYSE

Source: Nasdaq public quote data. Research only.

Earnings Intelligence

Next

Not yet scheduled

Estimate

N/A

Actual

$0.85

  • • Last report Oct 28, 2026 (Sep 2026): EPS $0.85 vs $0.91 expected, -6.59% surprise.
  • • Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters.

Risk Warnings

  • • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
  • • Markets can move against any signal regardless of the score.
  • • Confirm liquidity, spreads, and your own thesis before acting.

UBS questions

What is the MarketPicks AI signal for UBS Group AG stock (UBS)?

As of Nov 2, 1:17 AM ET, the ensemble reads neutral on UBS — no consensus — 15 of 16 bots holding, with 0 bull, 1 bear and 15 hold votes from 16 specialist bots. Research only, not investment advice.

What is the latest UBS price on MarketPicks?

UBS was $47.69 on the latest quote (Nov 2, 1:17 AM ET), -0.91% since the previous close. Quotes can be delayed.

What do the momentum and trend scores for UBS mean?

Scores run from 0 to 100, with 50 neutral. UBS shows momentum 38/100, trend velocity 50/100 and volatility risk 37/100, with news sentiment at 60/100.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.

Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.