Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity
Momentum 16/100 with trend velocity 0/100 — trend is rolling over.
Prediction result · Ensemble engineUpdated 9:32 PM
VX
CBOE Volatility Index
$15.03-5.11% todayBearish
CBOE Volatility Index (VX) is trading at $15.03, down 5.11% on the session and -6.93% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 13.45%, with price momentum at 16/100 and trend velocity at 0/100. Sentiment across 0 recent headlines reads mixed at 50/100. Volatility risk is elevated (100/100) and the stock is 8% of the way up its 52-week range. The ensemble vote lands at 23/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.
Predictive path
AI Signal
Bearish · Strong bearish edge
Full public-market mode: chart history, quote, and news inputs were available.
Chart feed
Yahoo Finance public chart API
Quote/history
Six-month public chart history loaded.
News feed
No relevant current headlines found.
Model mode
Full public-market technical and news ensemble.
News Sentiment50/100
Price Momentum16/100
Trend Velocity0/100
Volatility Risk100/100
Why It Matters
Signal Explanation
CBOE Volatility Index (VX) is trading at $15.03, down 5.11% on the session and -6.93% over the past week. Price sits below its 50-day average by 13.45%, with price momentum at 16/100 and trend velocity at 0/100. Sentiment across 0 recent headlines reads mixed at 50/100. Volatility risk is elevated (100/100) and the stock is 8% of the way up its 52-week range. The ensemble vote lands at 23/100 — a bearish signal. Research only, not investment advice.
Predictive Engine · Specialist bot ensemble
44% of trees lean bearish on VX
Specialist-bot ensemble of 16 decision trees over 9 features: momentum, news, volume, volatility, range, sentiment divergence, trend structure, and oscillator. Majority + weighted vote. Each specialist bot inspects a different slice of the feature set, casts a directional vote, and contributes a confidence weight to the final score.
Engine edgeStrong bearish edgeBearish
Inputs: newsSentiment, dayChange
Sentiment 50/100 + price -5.1% are both mid-range.
Inputs: unusualVolume, dayChange
Volume read 50/100 with price drift -5.1% — no clear footprint.
Inputs: volatilityRisk, momentum
High volatility (100/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.
Inputs: pctOfRange, trendVelocity
Mid-range positioning — no edge from range alone.
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange
Sentiment 50/100 vs week change -6.9% are in agreement — no divergence edge.
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum
Price -13.4% under 50d SMA with no momentum reclaim — downtrend intact.
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity
Composite oscillator at 8 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.
Inputs: momentum, dayChange, vsSma50
Momentum 16/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.
Inputs: newsSentiment, weekChange
News 50/100 and weekly change -6.9% do not create a clean follow-through read.
Inputs: unusualVolume, trendVelocity
Volume 50/100 does not show a dry-up signal.
Inputs: volatilityRisk, pctOfRange, momentum
Very high volatility (100/100) with weak momentum is a rough setup for holders.
Inputs: pctOfRange, dayChange, weekChange
Price is near the bottom of its 52-week range and the tape is still leaking lower.
Inputs: newsSentiment, momentum, weekChange
Sentiment 50/100 and momentum 16/100 are not aligned enough for a clean read.
Inputs: vsSma50, momentum, trendVelocity
Price is still under the 50d SMA and the trend has not reclaimed control.
Inputs: momentum, trendVelocity, weekChange
Oscillator at 8 does not show a rebound edge.
Why the ensemble agrees
- Momentum 16/100 with trend velocity 0/100 — trend is rolling over.
- High volatility (100/100) without momentum support — wide path, more downside variance.
- Momentum 16/100 with negative tape and price under the 50d SMA — downside continuation.
Counter-trees
- Composite oscillator at 8 — washed-out zone, mean-reversion candidate.
Bull Case
- Momentum is building from a lower base; a reclaim of the 50-day average would confirm it.
- Headline flow is mixed rather than decisively negative — room for a positive catalyst.
- Trend velocity suggests the move can extend if volume confirms.
Bear Case
- Volatility risk is elevated — the path can be wide and fast in both directions.
- Price is near 52-week lows — the broader downtrend has not been broken yet.
- Sentiment can flip quickly if the next catalyst disappoints.
Latest Market Headlines
No current headlines passed the relevance filter. The watch panel above still shows the catalysts and risk factors being tracked.
Earnings Intelligence
Next
Unavailable from public feed
Estimate
N/A
Actual
N/A
- • Earnings data is not available from the public feed used on this page.
- • Price, news, and model inputs are live.
- • Use an exchange or broker calendar for the official earnings schedule.
Risk Warnings
- • Signals are model output from public data, not personalized investment advice.
- • High volatility — position sizing and stops matter more here.
- • Crypto trades 24/7 and can gap hard on thin weekend liquidity.
Not financial advice. MarketPicks.ai is an impersonal research tool. AI output can be wrong. Investing involves risk of loss. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional. Full disclaimer.